A | Renee 综合 昨天新西兰人在降雨天气中度过了圣诞节，今天节礼日(Boxing Day)能迎来阳光吗？答案是天气依然不美，很多地区仍将迎来恶劣天气。
B | Another Scottish independence referendum could be risky for the regional government in Edinburgh, an academic and analyst has said.,Embattled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson wrote to Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and first minister in the devolved administration, on Wednesday evening to deny her latest demand for a re-run of the 2014 plebiscite.,"As our country faces unprecedented challenges at home and abroad, I cannot agree that now is the time to return to a question, which was clearly answered by the people of Scotland in 2014," Johnson wrote.,Sturgeon announced in June that Scotland's Lord Advocate Dorothy Bain — whose cabinet post combines the powers of the Westminster government's attorney general and the director of public prosecutions — would ask the Supreme Court to rule on the legality of holding another vote without necessary approval from the Westminster Parliament.,The nationalist leader claimed Scots would vote to separate from England — where many of them work — out of a desire to reverse Brexit and opposition to 12 years of government by the Conservative Party, which holds few Parliamentary seats in Scotland.,Dr Roslyn Fuller, director of the non-profit think tank Solonian Democracy Institute and the author of the book Beasts and Gods: How Democracy Changed Its Meaning and Lost Its Purpose told Sputnik that while pushing for a repeat referendum was central to the SNP's identity, it was also a dangerous gamble.,She said SNP's planned vote next year would only be "advisory" and "non-binding", but that it also took the party back to its basic reason for being.,"I think the SNP has the same challenges that many other independence parties like Sinn Fein or the Bloc Quebecois have — they succeed in attaining power in their own region which forces them to go from a single-issue party (independence) to develop a multitude of other policies that voters then judge them on," the academic said.,"They end up working within the system they intended to break away from and this can dilute their message," Fuller added. "Sturgeon and the SNP generally need to be seen to be continuing to pursue independence to satisfy a certain portion of their voters, and this is a way to achieve that".,Running the plebiscite — with legal sanction — and winning would give the SNP a boost going in to the next general election, due by the end of January 2025 but potentially much sooner, the analyst believes.,Even if the vote was blocked, Sturgeon has already stated that she would consider the next general election a de-facto referendum on independence, she points out. "So again, it would serve to drive out the vote for the SNP and try to focus attention on this one issue (independence) that differentiates them from the other major parties.","The only really risky situation for her would be if the Court did greenlight such an advisory referendum and it failed at the polls," Fuller stressed.,The 'Yes' campaign was leading in the polls in the run-up to the 2014 referendum, but ultimately the 10 per cent of voters declaring themselves undecided went overwhelmingly to the 'No' camp. Scotland voted by 55 per cent to 45 to remain part of the UK.,The key unknown factor, according to Fuller, is who succeeds Johnson as next Tory leader an PM.,"My personal feeling is that we'll be seeing a turn of the Tories back to more establishment politics with likely quite different policies," she says. "I think they ran Johnson as a counter to Corbyn, but that job is done now that the Labour party has turned back to its own centre.",Fuller argues that such a major change of political direction would be significant enough that a snap general election should be called to seek a new mandate to govern. She says the SNP's performance at the polls would be crucial to their referendum bid.,Prof: Scottish Independence Requires Serious Debate Amid Soaring Cost of Living in UK16 June, 12:47 GMT,Legal Avenues,The think-tank director believes Sturgeon's appeal to the Supreme Court shows the SNP is anxious keep its latest bid for a referendum on firm legal ground, since its declared pretext for the vote is so Scotland can re-apply for membership of the European Union (EU). But she cautioned that would open "a whole can of worms.","Firstly, it clouds the entire idea of independence. It Scotland were to re-join the EU, which is heading towards getting rid of unanimity voting, the average Scot would have significantly less power than they do if they remain in the UK," she says.,"It is not 'independence' in any actual meaning of the word," Fuller stressed. "How do you run an 'independence' referendum on the understanding that if you win, you are going to join a larger, even less democratic, entity?",But more importantly, an unsanctioned 'indyref' would put the SNP in the same bracket as the coalition of Catalan nationalist parties who held an unofficial plebiscite in 2017, in which only supporters of independence bothered to vote. The political organisers found themselves arrested and charged or, in the case of then-regional president Carles Puigdemont, fleeing abroad as a fugitive.,"There are countries in the EU, like Spain, that are very much against separatist referendums, so getting some kind of legal blessing for this is probably necessary to retain their support," Fuller says.。 Advertise with us 北岛北部大部分地区今天都被大雨和强雷暴预警笼罩，预计直到午夜才会停止降雨。 天气预报机构MetService预报员Tuporo Marsters说，全国范围内降雨的缓解将是短暂的，下午北地(Northland)东部将再次出现阵雨，塔拉纳基(Taranaki)和霍克湾(Hawke’s Bay)等一些地区可能会有大雨。 从北地到丰盛湾(Bay of Plenty)，包括度假胜地科罗曼德尔半岛(Coromandel Peninsula)，都处于降雨监测下。 北地、丰盛湾、吉斯伯恩(Gisborne)和霍克湾从下午1点开始进入雷暴警报状态。 MetService警告说，猛烈雷暴可能会导致低洼地区出现强降雨，可能引发山洪暴发，并导致滑坡。 奥克兰今天的降雨预测。图片来源 / MetService 气温方面，整个北岛的气温预计将达到20度以上，其中内皮尔(Napier)和黑斯廷斯(Hastings)的气温最高，预计高达29度。 在南岛西海岸，该地区的气温可能在20度左右，而布伦海姆(Blenheim)的气温可能达到26度，奥塔哥中部可能达到25度。 昨天黑斯廷斯是全国最高气温的地区，达到33度左右，附近的内皮尔达到32摄氏度，吉斯伯恩达到28度。
C | 在南岛，Twizel也感受到了高温，达到了30度。凯库拉达到27度，基督城25度。 奥克兰未来7天天气预报如下： 更多全国地区天气可点击MetService官网查看。 相关阅读： 热！今年将成为新西兰有记录以来最热的三年之一 这个夏季假期，交通和天气好像都不那么妙…… 厄尔尼诺来袭 新西兰今夏出现热带气旋的风险有多大？ 炎热干燥！今年夏天新西兰的气温或将飙升至39度 厄尔尼诺现象来了！几周之内，新西兰气候会发生怎样的巨大变化？ 厄尔尼诺来袭 2024或成史上最热一年 注：本文为编译/原创，欢迎转发分享；但严禁复制等未经授权的非法使用。违反上述声明者，本网将追究其相关法律责任。使用授权请联系[email protected]。
D | chineseherald.co.nz All Rights Reserved 版权所有 (责编：twinkle) 来源 - 相关内容 北部开始下雨了 奥克兰的圣诞节可能有阵雨 今天奥克兰高速接连车祸 一特斯拉撞毁 新西兰外长Winston Peters：不会驱逐俄罗斯大使 爆笑！新西兰女财长再发带色口误！网友：开车开到飞起来…… 热！今年将成为新西兰有记录以来最热的三年之一 突发！奥克兰这座火山发生火灾！3男子纵火被捕 新西兰政府发布“迷你预算案”！取消这些福利！这类华人迎来利好 新西兰副总理兼外长对中国甘肃地震表示慰问。
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